2024 Presidential Election Polls: Biden Leads Trump and RFK Jr.

Biden Maintains Lead in Key Battleground States

According to a recent poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, President Joe Biden holds a significant lead over former President Donald Trump and anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the key battleground states of New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The poll, which was conducted among registered voters in the three states, found that Biden leads Trump by 10 points and RFK Jr. by 15 points.

Trump and RFK Jr. Trail in Popularity

Trump's decline in popularity is attributed to his continued false claims about the 2020 election, his role in the January 6th Capitol attack, and his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. RFK Jr., on the other hand, has seen his favorability ratings plummet due to his outspoken opposition to vaccines and his association with the anti-vaccine movement.

Is Polling a Reliable Indicator?

Political analysts caution that while polling can provide a snapshot of the current political landscape, it is not always a reliable predictor of election outcomes. However, they note that Biden's consistent lead in the polls is a positive sign for his campaign.

Kennedy's Favorability Rating as a Key Factor

RFK Jr.'s favorability rating will be a crucial factor in determining his prospects as a third-party candidate. If his popularity continues to decline, it will be increasingly difficult for him to gain traction in the race.

Conclusion

While the political landscape remains fluid, the current polls indicate that President Biden has a strong lead over his potential challengers in the 2024 presidential election. However, with Trump's history of defying expectations and RFK Jr.'s potential to appeal to disaffected voters, the race is far from decided. As the election draws near, all eyes will be on the polls to gauge the ebbs and flows of public opinion and predict the outcome of the most consequential presidential contest in recent American history.